The crypto market is迎来一次历史级别的期权交割事件:230亿名义金额的年末期权集中落地,创下历史新高。这场规模庞大的交割背后,隐藏着市场流动性的重大转变。
What will happen on the delivery day? The collateral pledged by option sellers will be collectively unlocked, and the premiums from unexercised options will flow back in large quantities, meaning billions of dollars will re-enter the market to complete rebalancing. At the institutional level, there is also intensive rebalancing at the end of the year, preparing for the 2026 cycle, and the risk exposure of the crypto market is quietly restructuring.
From a trader’s perspective, after the options positions of market makers mature, the hedge positions previously established will be closed or adjusted in bulk, releasing a large amount of locked-in liquidity. Interestingly, the current market structure shows an overall net bearish bias, and short covering could become a trigger for the next wave of market movement. But the market always has variables; the degree of coordination between fundamentals and technicals determines the true strength.
The key is to observe the actual market reaction to this wave of delivery—whether it is an upward movement driven by liquidity release or a downward correction from profit-taking. Stay vigilant and let the data speak.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
8 Likes
Reward
8
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
GateUser-e51e87c7
· 3h ago
23 billion in settlements sounds impressive, but the real highlight depends on the market performance; discussing strategies on paper is meaningless.
View OriginalReply0
PerpetualLonger
· 3h ago
23 billion? Trying to fool us into bottom fishing again, retail short-sellers are about to get cut again.
Full position hold tight, liquidity unlocking is the last chance to get on board. Not adding to positions is just plain stupid.
Net biased bearish? So what, the bears are doomed. This time it will definitely rise, I still believe.
What are you observing? Going all-in directly is the real trader's move. Getting back to break-even is just around the corner.
Institutional rebalancing? I don't believe it, they are definitely accumulating. In the next 2026 bull market cycle, I want to be fully invested.
Profit-taking? Laughable. This kind of talk is just bearish hype. Breakthrough is right in front of us.
View OriginalReply0
DegenTherapist
· 3h ago
23 billion in deliveries, it looks quite intimidating, but honestly, who knows how it will go, I’ll just watch the market and speak.
Short covering? Maybe, but if this wave crashes down, I wouldn’t be surprised. It’s all due to the weak fundamentals.
Big moves like this at the end of the year are the easiest to smash, I’m feeling a bit cautious.
Liquidity returning sounds wonderful, but in reality? It might just be the prelude to a harvest of the leeks.
23 billion, oh my god, this number makes me dizzy. Who’s really making money and who’s losing?
Market makers closing positions? I only know retail investors are going to be harvested, the institutions have probably already planned it out.
Analysis without data is useless. I’m waiting to see the real trend.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeBarbecue
· 3h ago
23 billion in settlements—this round depends on how market makers close their positions. Are the short covering genuine or just hype? Large fund rebalancing needs to be supported by real data.
View OriginalReply0
JustHereForMemes
· 3h ago
23 billion in one wave of delivery, can this wave really cause a surge? Feels like the liquidity aspect is being exaggerated a bit.
Wait, net bearish? Then short covering is about to take off, right? The problem is the fundamentals can't keep up, that's the real trap.
On the delivery day, I don't believe anything without looking at the data. Relying solely on stories makes it easy to get cut.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-afe07a92
· 3h ago
23 billion one-time sell-off, if this wave can be pulled up, it's a miracle. Expecting a short squeeze.
The crypto market is迎来一次历史级别的期权交割事件:230亿名义金额的年末期权集中落地,创下历史新高。这场规模庞大的交割背后,隐藏着市场流动性的重大转变。
What will happen on the delivery day? The collateral pledged by option sellers will be collectively unlocked, and the premiums from unexercised options will flow back in large quantities, meaning billions of dollars will re-enter the market to complete rebalancing. At the institutional level, there is also intensive rebalancing at the end of the year, preparing for the 2026 cycle, and the risk exposure of the crypto market is quietly restructuring.
From a trader’s perspective, after the options positions of market makers mature, the hedge positions previously established will be closed or adjusted in bulk, releasing a large amount of locked-in liquidity. Interestingly, the current market structure shows an overall net bearish bias, and short covering could become a trigger for the next wave of market movement. But the market always has variables; the degree of coordination between fundamentals and technicals determines the true strength.
The key is to observe the actual market reaction to this wave of delivery—whether it is an upward movement driven by liquidity release or a downward correction from profit-taking. Stay vigilant and let the data speak.