2025-12-26 07:23:59

昨天行情开始躁动时，我没忍住追了1万现货进去。现在回头看，进得太急了。早上8点也起不来，就这么挣扎了一整天，手里那些山寨币也都在成本线附近徘徊，没什么动静。

计划3点时出一部分现货，4点之后再减持一些。这波拉涨的行情吧，我就按那些看大宗期权的大佬们的思路来，反正他们的"自救"动作展开了，但后面到底还有没有人继续拉盘，那就谁也说不准了。

技术上看，如果863-869这段能站稳当成圆弧底的话，上面的顶点位置其实看不出特别高的空间，899-904附近差不多就是个关键压力。万一后面又掉下来，我就继续去863-855那带子等机会。

从现在到1月，好像还没听说有什么确定的利空，这样的话，按着震荡节奏做日内波段也还不错。一直空仓看戏也很难受，总得参与一点才行。

最近一直在监控山寨币的涨跌，才发现这些小币种的活跃度真的出人意料，每个小时都能看到涨跌超过20%的币种。不管大盘怎么走，总有那么几个山寨在闹独立行情。我在想能不能把这个特性和现在单向做空的量化策略结合起来，前几天觉得自己快要摸到门路了，结果山寨来了一波派发，硬生生被砸回去一个大回撤。这东西太不稳定，根本没法直接用来带单，还得继续琢磨优化。等大宗期权这轮交割完，行情回到那种无聊的窄幅震荡时，我再继续去深化这套思路吧。

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AirdropATM

· 8h ago

It's a bit urgent to chase now, are altcoins just going to lie flat? --- That resistance level at 899 is hard to break through, I think it's quite challenging. --- Quantitative strategies were knocked back and retraced; these altcoins are really too greedy. --- The idea of waiting for opportunities around 863-855 is good; I think so too. --- It's uncomfortable to hold no positions; I still need some holdings to find something to do. --- Only after the options expiration can I really analyze it; right now, it's too volatile. --- I also saw the 20% price fluctuation; small-cap coins are just that crazy. --- The big players' self-rescue actions are underway; who knows what will happen next. --- I also feel the same about not getting up at 8 in the morning; it's really torturous. --- This market looks like a rebound, but the top space is really limited.

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BuyTheTop

· 8h ago

1. Moving in with 10,000 so quickly, this is just greed, brother. 2. The pump of the altcoins was really ruthless. I’ve been crushed too. Now I dodge at a 20% fluctuation. 3. Large options deliveries are always like this before settlement. No one can be sure if there will be more pushes afterward. 4. If 863-869 can hold steady, I’ll give it a try. Just worried it might drop again, so I’ll wait and see. 5. Holding no position is uncomfortable, I totally understand, but don’t let the market lead your rhythm, brother. 6. Quantitative trading combined with altcoins is really brain-burning. The retracement is too big to withstand. 7. Not even waking up by 8 AM and still wanting to do intraday swings—this is just ridiculous. 8. 899-904 is clearly a resistance zone, no doubt. The question is whether it can really break above. 9. This wave of market movement is just the big players saving themselves. We’re just lucky to catch some soup. 10. The altcoin market moves 20% per hour independently. That’s a risk beyond ordinary.

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ShitcoinConnoisseur

· 8h ago

Once you invest 10,000, you start to regret it—that's the result of chasing highs, buddy. You still want to quantify a 20% fluctuation in altcoins? Give me a break, this stuff is just gambling. It's a miracle if 899-904 can really hold steady; my bet is that the next move will be a big plunge. Feeling uncomfortable with no position? Just participate. Regret after participating—when will this cycle end? Waiting until options settlement to optimize? By then, it’s already time to change your approach, brother.

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