Looking at BTC's mean deviation patterns this cycle - we're seeing something unusual. Past dips typically bottomed around 25% below trend, but this recent correction hit 32% at its worst.
Here's the interesting part though. When you zoom out to the 10-year growth trajectory, that "deep" dip? Still looks underpriced. The long-term math hasn't broken - Bitcoin's holding above what historical growth models would suggest as fair value.
Market's testing resolve, but the fundamentals remain intact.
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CodeAuditQueen
· 12-13 07:32
A 32% correction is indeed strange, but what does this indicate—has the historical model failed, or is there a flaw in the market pricing mechanism itself?
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GateUser-6bc33122
· 12-10 16:51
A 32% decline is indeed harsh, but when extended to ten years, it's still at the bottom? I like this logic; no breakdown in fundamentals means what?
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ThesisInvestor
· 12-10 16:47
Damn, a 32% drop sounds terrifying, but when looking at the ten-year line chart, it's actually still cheap. I buy into this logic.
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OnchainSniper
· 12-10 16:40
A 32% drop looks fierce, but when extended to a ten-year chart... it really hasn't broken the fundamentals; this game still has to go on.
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DefiEngineerJack
· 12-10 16:27
tbh the 32% deviation thing is cute, but have you actually run a formal regression against the logarithmic trend line? the numbers don't quite add up without proper detrending methodology. just saying.
Looking at BTC's mean deviation patterns this cycle - we're seeing something unusual. Past dips typically bottomed around 25% below trend, but this recent correction hit 32% at its worst.
Here's the interesting part though. When you zoom out to the 10-year growth trajectory, that "deep" dip? Still looks underpriced. The long-term math hasn't broken - Bitcoin's holding above what historical growth models would suggest as fair value.
Market's testing resolve, but the fundamentals remain intact.