#美联储降息预测

Countdown to the big rate cut show, the crypto circle is already excited in advance, but my strategy remains more calm

This week’s highlight is undoubtedly the Federal Reserve’s last interest rate decision. Market sentiment generally believes that a rate cut is coming, with BTC and ETH already strengthening in advance, and altcoins igniting one after another. But the true “turning point” is still at 3 a.m., when sentiment may suddenly become overheated or briefly disappointed, so trading cannot rely solely on passion.
If the rate cut happens, market logic will be reignited — liquidity will loosen, risk appetite will increase, and altcoins’ demand for catch-up will strengthen. Especially ETH will react faster to the rate cut, and high Beta altcoins will enter a “fast rise, faster fall” rhythm.
My strategy is as follows:
① Prepare a small amount of spot positions in advance, targeting BTC and ETH;
② After data release, do not chase orders, wait for volatility to end before following the trend;
③ Only trade leading altcoins, avoid those with long sideways movement and low volume;
④ If there is no rate cut this time, I am even more optimistic — because the market will price in the rate cut for the next meeting, and the rebound is just delayed, not canceled.
To sum up: if the rate cut happens, it’s ignition; if not, it’s accumulation. Both directions are upward, just at different paces.